Friday, 3 January 2020

Foreign Exchange Regimes


Foreign Exchange Regimes
Currency Board or Central Banks
It is a monetary Authority that makes decisions on the valuation of a nation’s currency specifically whether to peg the exchange rate of a foreign currency to a local currency.
Features of a currency board
a.       It must have sufficient foreign currency reserves.
b.      The board maintains absolute and limited convertibility between its notes and coins and currency against which they are pegged.
c.       It only earns profits from interests on foreign reserves.
d.      It has no power to effect monetary policy and does not lend to the government.
e.      It does not act as a lender of last resort to commercial banks.
Government Intervention in the Forex Market
  Each country has a central bank that may intervene in foreign exchange market to control its currency value. The central bank attempts to control the money supply in the country.
Reasons for government intervention
a.       To stabilize fluctuations in exchange rates.
b.      To establish implicit exchange rate boundaries which allows the countries to move currency within certain bounds.
c.       To respond to temporary disturbances of excess currency demand and supply in the market.
d.      To improve the country’s trade deficits.
Types of Government Interventions
1.       Direct Intervention-The most common way of central banks’ intervention to affect the exchange rate is to enter the private currency market directly by buying and selling domestic currency. By doing this, central banks conduct two types of transactions:
Selling the domestic currency in exchange of foreign currency-This transaction will raise the supply of the dollar and increase the demand for the pound causing a reduction in the value of the dollar. The pound on the other hand appreciate in value. The central banks power to reduce the dollar’s value by direct intervention in the forex is virtually unlimited.
If the central bank wishes to raise the value of the dollar, it will need to buy dollars in exchange for pounds. The ability of the Central Bank to raise the value of the dollar through direct intervention is limited to stock of pounds available in the reserves.
2.       Direct intervention can be split into: sterilized intervention and non-sterilized intervention.
Sterilized intervention is a policy that attempts to influence the exchange rate without changing the monetary base. The aim is to change the exchange rate without affecting money supply with interest rates.
Non-sterilized intervention is a policy that alters the monetary base. The central bank intervene by increasing or decreasing the money supply. Money supply will increase with the attempt to weaken the home currency and decrease to strengthen the home currency. Authorities do this through purchase or sale of foreign bonds with the domestic currency. This process is referred to as Indirect intervention.

Regulation of Derivative Markets


Regulation of Derivative Markets
Over-The-Counter Derivatives markets operate at a lower degree of regulation and oversight as compared to the exchange traded derivatives markets. Up and until 2010, the OTC derivatives market in Kenya was unregulated. The transactions would be executed with only minimal oversight through laws that regulated the parties themselves but not the specific instruments. Following the financial crisis that begun in 2007, new regulations were set and the OTC markets became regulated but not to the extent of the exchange traded market.
Purpose of Regulation
1.       Market Integrity
To ensure that prices on the exchange properly reflect the demand and supply of the underlying asset market.
2.       Prudential regulation
Ensuring players in the market are financially sound and are able to market obligations.
3.       Business conduct
Protect consumers especially retail clients
4.       Business growth
By promoting innovation and allowing new markets to develop.
5.       Market stability
Criticism or Misuse of Derivatives
There are three principal arguments against derivatives
1.       It is seen as a form of gambling
Due to its speculative nature it is seen as a permitted or legalized form of gambling
2.       Destabilization of markets
Opponents of derivatives markets claim that the very benefits of derivative/low cost and low capital requirements results in an excessive amount of speculative trading that brings destability.
They argue that speculators use a large amount of leverage thereby subjecting themselves and their creditors to substantial risk if the market does not move in their direction.
3.       Complexity
Derivatives are seen a complex financial instruments that require a high level of understanding of mathematics thus making many distrust derivatives and the people who deal in them.
Recap
There are two general classes of derivatives: Forward Commitment Derivatives and the Contigent Claim
There are three types of forward commitments: forwards; futures and swaps. This type provides the parties the ability to lock in a price at which they will transact at a future date.
The contingent claim class includes options which are categorized into call and put options. This class provides the right to one party (holder) to buy or sell an underlying asset at a future date at a price fixed during the initiation of the contract.